| Speech
Reversal Lab
REVERSE
SPEECH BLIND TESTS
Here's some interesting statistics to ponder. Over
the past several months, I've had a blind
test on this web site of multiple choice
questions. I put this up just to see what would
happen. This is of course not official at all and
there is no knowledge of the status of those
people who voted, nor controls on the tests. But
here are the results. Make of them what you will
and email me with your comments. They would be
greatly appreciated. We are currently in the
process of establishing strict testing protocols
for Reverse Speech in conjunction with a major
Australian University. All comments sent to us
would help greatly.
Initial feedback to results of
blind test
Subject:
Reverse Speech Blind Testing
Date:
Sat, 13 May 2000 04:27:35 -0700
From:
"George" <******>
To:
"David Oates"
<backwards@reversespeech.com>
David:
Interesting questionnaire results. Question 1
can, as I see it, tell most of the story. If
there was no difference in the answers people
would be guessing and probably getting the "correct"
answer about 25% of the time. Given a probability
of 25% & a correct response of 284 out of 458
responses gives a very long odds of about ten to
the 60th power to 1. That's 1 followed by 60
zeros. If one were to be much more conservative
and say that there are really only two answers
the correct one and all the others, then the
chance of a correct answer could be 50%. So doing
the same thing again but with probability to 50%
the odds of getting 284 correct out of 458 is
only 6,436,000 to 1. This very clearly shows that
there is something going on other than guessing.
Doing the odds for the whole questionnaire would
produce odds that are extremely huge, but not
much more meaningful.
What does this tell us? As I see it, it tells us
that there is definitely something about the
sound of reverse speech that has some consistency.
In other words people tend to hear the same thing.
That's not particularly useful info though.
Analyzing how many people got 10 out of 10, or 9
out of ten could be more interesting i.e. hinting
that there is a skill involved.
It seems that you might be wanting to have
academic proof for RS. To "prove"
reverse speech, It seems
to me that one needs to show that the reverse
sounds are meaningful and intelligent. One of the
best way to do that as I see it, would be to have
RS tell us something that is not presently known,
but soon will be known. And particularly
something with a probability that is well defined.
One of the best ways to get something that is not
presently known, and soon to be known, is to have
it be a future event. For example: Predict the
outcome in advance of the winners of maybe 12
football games. I'm assuming that no one can
predict the results better than 60% of the time.
Then post these predicted results on the web.
Have RS people visit that page and save a copy
the predicted results to their hard drive. Making
particular note of the date and time so that they
can be good witnesses. Then email that they have
done so. This will give us a witness list, to
prove that these results were done before the
games were played. To be considered
scientifically valid an experiment must reach at
least what is call a "95% confidence level"
that means a chance result of less than 1 in 20.
At 60% chance of being right, 12 out of 12 would
be 99.7% confidence level or about 1 in 460. And
11 out of 12 correct would be a 98% confidence
level.
Either should be considered to be a valid
positive experiment. With it being a future
event, it should be viewed as having proper
controls. Given the info that you gave me about a
30 minute tape being required to get a Yes / No
or Win / Lose answer, an experiment like this
could take analyzing 12 30-minute tapes within 1
week of time or so. I strongly suspect that there
are other future events that can be predicted
requiring somewhat less time. So this is probably
just an example. I believe that this amount of
time and effort put into another project would
produce tens of thousands of dollars and thus
make many things much easier, including proof of
RS.
George
Answers as I
anticipated they would be.
1/ Get back in it
2/ It broke mummy
3/ They pulled out the
grass
4/ None of the above
5/ You were never my
Daddy
6/ Hear the lie
7/ Wolf in White van
8/ Who's sorry
9/ None of the above
10/ Cuddle me
(but it is an imprecise reversal)
Reverse Speech Blind
Testing
| Decide
what each reversal says. |
Reverse Speech Blind
Testing
Current Vote Statistics
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David
John Oates
Founder and Developer of Reverse Speech
Technologies
PO Box 678, Noarlunga Centre, SA 5168.
Australia
phone: 08 83824372 - international: 61 8
83824372
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